{"id":821930,"date":"2026-08-03T18:33:38","date_gmt":"2026-08-03T10:33:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.alphaseek.cn\/?p=821930"},"modified":"2026-08-03T18:33:38","modified_gmt":"2026-08-03T10:33:38","slug":"%e7%bd%97%e5%ae%be%e6%b1%89%e9%a2%84%e6%b5%8b%e5%b8%82%e5%9c%ba%e6%94%b6%e5%85%a5%e7%8e%b0%e5%b7%b2%e8%b6%85%e8%b6%8a%e8%82%a1%e7%a5%a8%e4%ba%a4%e6%98%93%e4%b8%9a%e5%8a%a1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.alphaseek.cn\/?p=821930","title":{"rendered":"\u7f57\u5bbe\u6c49\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u6536\u5165\u73b0\u5df2\u8d85\u8d8a\u80a1\u7968\u4ea4\u6613\u4e1a\u52a1"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/finance.sina.com.cn\/zt_d\/subject-1784038791\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u4e13\u9898\uff1a\u805a\u7126\u7f8e\u80a12026\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u8d22\u62a5<\/a><\/p>\n<div><img src=\"https:\/\/finance.sina.com.cn\/\/n.sinaimg.cn\/tech\/transform\/74\/w550h324\/20260803\/5fec-bb7509e5fdd1f0da2a85dedbf805bec9.png\" alt=\"\u7f57\u5bbe\u6c49\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u6536\u5165\u73b0\u5df2\u8d85\u8d8a\u80a1\u7968\u4ea4\u6613\u4e1a\u52a1\" style=\" display:block; margin-left:auto; margin-right:auto; \"><span><\/span><\/div>\n<p>\u80a1\u7968\u4ea4\u6613\u5e73\u53f0\u7f57\u5bbe\u6c49\uff08Robinhood\uff09\u8fc5\u901f\u5d1b\u8d77\u4e3a\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u73a9\u5bb6\uff0c\u64bc\u52a8\u4e86 Kalshi \u4e0e Polymarket \u5728\u8fd9\u7c7b\u70ed\u95e8\u4e8b\u4ef6\u6295\u6ce8\u8d5b\u9053\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\u5730\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f57\u5bbe\u6c49\u4e0a\u5468\u53d1\u5e03\u4e8c\u5b63\u62a5\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c<strong>\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u4e1a\u52a1\u8425\u6536\u540c\u6bd4\u6fc0\u589e\u8d85 10 \u500d\uff0c\u8fbe\u5230 1.56 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\u3002\u8be5\u4e1a\u52a1\u5360\u516c\u53f8\u5f53\u671f\u4ea4\u6613\u603b\u6536\u5165\u7684 20%\uff0c\u8425\u6536\u89c4\u6a21\u9996\u6b21\u8d85\u8fc7\u80a1\u7968\u4ea4\u6613\u4e0e<a href=\"https:\/\/www.alphaseek.cn\/?tag=%e5%8a%a0%e5%af%86%e8%b4%a7%e5%b8%81\" title=\"View all posts in \u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"tag_link\">\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01<\/a>\u4e1a\u52a1\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u4ec5\u6b21\u4e8e\u671f\u6743\u4e1a\u52a1\u7684\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5927\u4ea4\u6613\u677f\u5757\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6210\u7acb\u4e0d\u8db3\u4e24\u5e74\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u4e1a\u52a1\uff0c\u5f7b\u5e95\u6539\u53d8\u4e86\u7f57\u5bbe\u6c49\u7684\u6536\u5165\u7ed3\u6784\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u73b0\u8c61\u4e5f\u8868\u660e\uff1a\u6295\u673a\u8d44\u91d1\u6b63\u5728\u4ece\u4f20\u7edf\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u8f6c\u79fb\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u62bc\u6ce8\u5404\u7c7b\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9884\u6d4b\u5408\u7ea6\u5141\u8bb8\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u5bf9\u4e16\u754c\u676f\u8d5b\u4e8b\u3001\u9009\u4e3e\u3001\u5929\u6c14\u7b49\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7ed3\u679c\u8fdb\u884c\u6295\u6ce8\uff0c\u91c7\u7528\u7b80\u6d01\u7684 \u201c\u662f \/ \u5426\u201d \u4e8c\u5143\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u5b9e\u65f6\u4ea4\u6613\u3002\u8fd9\u4e0e\u7f57\u5bbe\u6c49\u5b58\u91cf\u96f6\u552e<a href=\"https:\/\/www.alphaseek.cn\/?tag=%e6%8a%95%e8%b5%84\" title=\"View all posts in \u6295\u8d44\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"tag_link\">\u6295\u8d44<\/a>\u8005\u7684\u504f\u597d\u9ad8\u5ea6\u5951\u5408\uff0c\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u52a0\u5bc6<a href=\"https:\/\/www.alphaseek.cn\/?tag=%e8%b4%a7%e5%b8%81\" title=\"View all posts in \u8d27\u5e01\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"tag_link\">\u8d27\u5e01<\/a>\u70ed\u5ea6\u964d\u6e29\u540e\uff0c\u4e3a\u7528\u6237\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u5168\u65b0\u4ea4\u6613\u6807\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u745e\u7a57\u8bc1\u5238\u80a1\u7968\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u4e39\u30fb\u591a\u83b1\u592b\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u7f57\u5bbe\u6c49\u7528\u6237\u672c\u8eab\u70ed\u8877\u4e8e\u535a\u5f08\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u6b63\u4e2d\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e0b\u6000\u3002\u8fd9\u9879\u4e1a\u52a1\u53ef\u4ee5\u5b8c\u7f8e\u627f\u63a5\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u9000\u6f6e\u540e\u7684\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u5b83\u80fd\u7ed9\u4eba\u5e26\u6765\u66f4\u5feb\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u53cd\u9988\uff0c\u4e0d\u9700\u8981\u6f2b\u957f\u7b49\u5f85\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Kalshi \u4f9d\u65e7\u662f<a href=\"https:\/\/www.alphaseek.cn\/?tag=%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd\" title=\"View all posts in \u7f8e\u56fd\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"tag_link\">\u7f8e\u56fd<\/a>\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u8d5b\u9053\u5934\u90e8\u5e73\u53f0\uff0c\u4e1a\u52a1\u589e\u957f\u8fc5\u731b\u30026 \u6708\u5176\u5e74\u5316\u8425\u6536\u7a81\u7834 20 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u8f83\u53bb\u5e74 11 \u6708\u589e\u957f\u7ea6\u4e24\u500d\u3002\u7ade\u54c1 Polymarket \u8fd1\u671f\u589e\u957f\u663e\u8457\u653e\u7f13\u3002\u7ed3\u5408\u7f57\u5bbe\u6c49\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u6570\u636e\u6d4b\u7b97\uff0c\u5176\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u5e74\u5316\u8425\u6536\u6709\u671b\u7a81\u7834 6 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f57\u5bbe\u6c49\u7684\u8f6c\u578b\u6210\u529f\uff0c\u4f53\u73b0\u51fa\u8fd9\u5bb6\u5e73\u53f0\u987a\u5e94\u5e02\u573a\u98ce\u5411\u8c03\u6574\u4e1a\u52a1\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u8fd9\u5bb6\u62e5\u6709 13 \u5e74\u5386\u53f2\u7684<a href=\"https:\/\/www.alphaseek.cn\/?tag=%e5%88%b8%e5%95%86\" title=\"View all posts in \u5238\u5546\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"tag_link\">\u5238\u5546<\/a>\u65e9\u671f\u4f9d\u9760\u96f6\u4f63\u91d1\u80a1\u7968\u3001\u671f\u6743\u4ea4\u6613\u4ee5\u53ca\u6d41\u7545\u7684\u79fb\u52a8\u7aef APP \u51fa\u5708\uff0c\u7b80\u5316\u5927\u4f17\u4ea4\u6613\u6d41\u7a0b\u30022018 \u5e74\u4e0a\u7ebf\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u4ea4\u6613\u3002\u957f\u671f\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u516c\u53f8\u4ea4\u6613\u6536\u5165\u7ed3\u6784\u59cb\u7ec8\u8ddf\u968f\u70ed\u95e8\u8d44\u4ea7\u8f6e\u52a8\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2021 \u5e74<a href=\"https:\/\/www.alphaseek.cn\/?tag=%e7%bd%91%e7%ba%a2\" title=\"View all posts in \u7f51\u7ea2\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"tag_link\">\u7f51\u7ea2<\/a>\u80a1\u7968\u70ed\u6f6e\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u80a1\u7968\u4e0e\u671f\u6743\u8425\u6536\u7206\u53d1\uff1b\u72d7\u72d7\u5e01\u7b49\u8ff7\u56e0\u5e01\u706b\u70ed\u65f6\uff0c\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u4ea4\u6613\u6536\u5165\u5927\u6da8\u3002\u76f4\u81f3 2024 \u5e74\u672b\uff0c\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u4ecd\u662f\u7f57\u5bbe\u6c49\u6700\u5927\u4ea4\u6613\u6536\u5165\u6765\u6e90\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2024 \u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u9009\u524d\u5915\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u70ed\u5ea6\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u6d77\u91cf\u8d44\u91d1\u6d8c\u5165\u5927\u9009\u7ed3\u679c\u62bc\u6ce8\u3002\u540c\u5e74 Kalshi \u83b7\u5f97\u7f8e\u56fd\u8fd0\u8425\u8d44\u8d28\uff0c\u4e3a\u5176\u4ed6\u5e73\u53f0\u5165\u573a\u94fa\u5e73\u9053\u8def\u30022024 \u5e74\u672b\uff0c\u7f57\u5bbe\u6c49\u4e0a\u7ebf\u9996\u4efd\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5408\u7ea6\uff0c\u5f00\u653e\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5927\u9009\u7ed3\u679c\u6295\u6ce8\uff1b\u968f\u540e\u9646\u7eed\u65b0\u589e\u4f53\u80b2\u8d5b\u4e8b\u54c1\u7c7b\uff0c\u5e76\u53d1\u5c55\u6210\u4e3a\u6838\u5fc3\u677f\u5757\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u987a\u5229\u627f\u63a5\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u964d\u6e29\u6d41\u5931\u7684\u6d41\u91cf\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u53d1\u5c55\u521d\u671f\uff0c\u7f57\u5bbe\u6c49\u5e76\u672a\u81ea\u5efa\u9884\u6d4b\u5408\u7ea6\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\uff0c\u7edd\u5927\u591a\u6570\u7528\u6237\u8ba2\u5355\u5bfc\u6d41\u81f3 Kalshi \u6210\u4ea4\uff0c\u53cc\u65b9\u5bf9\u6bcf\u4efd\u5408\u7ea6 2 \u7f8e\u5206\u7684\u624b\u7eed\u8d39\u4e94\u4e94\u5206\u6210\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u4eca\u5e74 6 \u6708\uff0c\u7f57\u5bbe\u6c49\u4e0e\u82cf\u4e16\u6c11\u56fd\u9645\u96c6\u56e2\uff08Susquehanna\uff09\u6210\u7acb\u5408\u8d44\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u63a8\u51fa\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u4ea4\u6613\u6240 Rothera\u3002\u7f57\u5bbe\u6c49\u5df2\u7ecf\u5c06\u90e8\u5206\u8ba2\u5355\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u4e16\u754c\u676f\u76f8\u5173\u6295\u6ce8\uff09\u8fc1\u79fb\u81f3\u8fd9\u5bb6\u65b0\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u6210\u4ea4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f57\u5bbe\u6c49\u8868\u793a\u5df2\u4e0b\u8c03\u9762\u5411\u7528\u6237\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u624b\u7eed\u8d39\uff1a\u5f53\u524d\u6bcf\u4efd\u5408\u7ea6\u6700\u9ad8\u6536\u53d6 1 \u7f8e\u5206\u57fa\u7840\u8d39\u7528\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u6839\u636e\u8ba2\u5355\u6210\u4ea4\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u4e0d\u540c\u53e6\u884c\u6536\u53d6\u8d39\u7528\u3002\u82e5\u8ba2\u5355\u4f9d\u65e7\u9001\u5f80 Kalshi\uff0cKalshi \u4ecd\u4f1a\u6536\u53d6\u6bcf\u4efd\u5408\u7ea6 1 \u7f8e\u5206\u624b\u7eed\u8d39\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5408\u4f5c\u683c\u5c40\u7531\u6b64\u6539\u53d8\uff0c\u53cc\u65b9\u4f9d\u5b58\u5ea6\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u6570\u636e\u673a\u6784 Artemis \u7edf\u8ba1\uff1a\u4eca\u5e74\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\uff0c\u7f57\u5bbe\u6c49\u8ba2\u5355\u4ec5\u5360 Kalshi \u603b\u6210\u4ea4\u91cf\u7684 17.5%\uff1b\u800c\u53bb\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u5360\u6bd4\u63a5\u8fd1 50%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e39\u30fb\u591a\u83b1\u592b\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u5c06\u8ba2\u5355\u8fc1\u79fb\u81f3\u81ea\u6709\u4ea4\u6613\u6240 Rothera\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u8ba9\u7f57\u5bbe\u6c49 \u201c\u638c\u63e1\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u4e1a\u52a1\u66f4\u591a\u4e3b\u52a8\u6743\u201d\u3002\u4f46\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e24\u79cd\u6a21\u5f0f\u6700\u7ec8\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5229\u6da6\u7387\u5dee\u8ddd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u592a\u5927\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5e73\u53f0\u9700\u8981\u6301\u7eed\u6295\u5165\u8865\u8d34\u5438\u5f15\u7528\u6237\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6574\u4f53\u6765\u770b\uff0cKalshi \u4ea4\u6613\u4f53\u91cf\u4f9d\u65e7\u5927\u5e45\u9886\u5148\u3002Artemis \u6570\u636e\uff1a6 \u6708 Kalshi \u6708\u5ea6\u540d\u4e49\u6210\u4ea4\u89c4\u6a21\u7ea6 330 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff1bPolymarket \u4e3a 140 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff1b\u540c\u65f6\u627f\u63a5\u7f57\u5bbe\u6c49\u8ba2\u5355\u4e0e\u90e8\u5206\u505a\u5e02\u5546\u4ea4\u6613\u7684 Rothera \u6210\u4ea4\u91cf\u4e3a 21 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f57\u5bbe\u6c49\u5e76\u975e\u552f\u4e00\u5e03\u5c40\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4e3b\u6d41\u91d1\u878d\u5e73\u53f0\u3002Coinbase \u4eca\u5e74\u4e5f\u5207\u5165\u8be5\u8d5b\u9053\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u4f53\u91cf\u5c1a\u5c0f\u3002Coinbase \u62ab\u9732\uff0c\u5176\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u4e1a\u52a1\u5e74\u5316\u8425\u6536\u7a81\u7834 1 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u672a\u516c\u5e03\u5355\u5b63\u5ea6\u786e\u5207\u6536\u5165\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u7206\u53d1\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u884c\u4e1a\u76d1\u7ba1\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u6301\u7eed\u5b58\u5728\u3002\u591a\u4e2a\u5dde\u653f\u5e9c\u5df2\u7ecf\u8d77\u8bc9\u76f8\u5173\u5e73\u53f0\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u7c7b\u4e1a\u52a1\u5c5e\u4e8e\u672a\u53d6\u5f97\u8d44\u8d28\u7684\u7ebf\u4e0a\u8d4c\u535a\uff0c\u4f53\u80b2\u6295\u6ce8\u9762\u4e34\u6cd5\u5f8b<a href=\"https:\/\/www.alphaseek.cn\/?tag=%e9%a3%8e%e9%99%a9\" title=\"View all posts in \u98ce\u9669\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"tag_link\">\u98ce\u9669<\/a>\u3002\u4f46\u7f8e\u56fd<a href=\"https:\/\/www.alphaseek.cn\/?tag=%e5%95%86%e5%93%81%e6%9c%9f%e8%b4%a7\" title=\"View all posts in \u5546\u54c1\u671f\u8d27\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"tag_link\">\u5546\u54c1\u671f\u8d27<\/a>\u4ea4\u6613\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08CFTC\uff09\u4e3b\u5f20\u81ea\u8eab\u62e5\u6709\u76d1\u7ba1\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u7ba1\u8f96\u6743\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u8fd9\u7c7b\u6295\u6ce8\u4e1a\u52a1\u70ed\u5ea6\u9ad8\u5ea6\u4f9d\u8d56\u73b0\u5b9e\u70ed\u70b9\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002\u7f57\u5bbe\u6c49\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u6536\u5165\u66b4\u6da8\uff0c\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5f97\u76ca\u4e8e\u56db\u5e74\u4e00\u5c4a\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u676f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Compass Point \u5206\u6790\u5e08\u57c3\u5fb7\u30fb\u6069\u683c\u5c14\u5728\u7814\u62a5\u4e2d\u63d0\u5230\uff0c\u8d5b\u4e8b\u5e26\u52a8\u4e0b 6\u30017 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